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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 17
28 Dec 2025-11:30
AC Milan
AC Milan
2nd place
- : -
28 Dec 2025 6:30
Verona
Verona
18th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

AC Milan vs Verona: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 28 December, 2025 6:30

1×2 Prediction
AC Milan
68%20%12%
AC MilanDrawVerona
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
52%48%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
53%47%
NoYes
Team Total - AC Milan
Under 2.5
67%33%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Verona
Under 1.5
83%17%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
AC Milan/Draw
88%12%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Verona +2.5
79%21%
Away +2.5NOT Away +2.5
Best Tip
Asian Handicap Verona +2
Odds: 1.39
68.7%
Bet Now
Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
6:30
AC Milan W 68%
:
Verona W 12%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.02 vs 0.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.29%
0:1
4.8%
0:2
1.83%
0:3
0.47%
0:4
0.09%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
12.64%
1:1
9.72%
1:2
3.73%
1:3
0.96%
1:4
0.18%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
12.7%
🔥
2:1
9.83%
2:2
3.81%
2:3
0.98%
2:4
0.19%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
8.5%
3:1
6.63%
3:2
2.59%
3:3
0.67%
3:4
0.13%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
4.27%
4:1
3.36%
4:2
1.32%
4:3
0.35%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
1.72%
5:1
1.36%
5:2
0.54%
5:3
0.14%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 2:0 (12.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.3%
0
17.4%
1
24.2%
2
22.5%
3
15.8%
4
8.8%
5
3.6%
6
1.0%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Inter
w l w w w
>
15
11
0
4
34
14
20
33
2
AC Milan
d w w w d
>
15
9
5
1
24
13
11
32
3
Napoli
l w w w l
>
15
10
1
4
22
13
9
31

17
Parma
d w l w l
>
15
3
5
7
10
18
-8
14
18
Verona
d l l w w
>
15
2
6
7
13
22
-9
12
19
Pisa
d l l l d
>
16
1
8
7
12
22
-10
11
2.10 xG 0.82
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
Last 6 Matches
AC Milan
VS
Verona
4/6 (67%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
2.33 PPG 1.17
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
50% BTTS % 83%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.81 Avg xG 1.03
AC Milan
D W W W D
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 11:30
AC Milan
2 2
Sassuolo
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Torino
2 3
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 19:45
AC Milan
1 0
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Inter
0 1
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Parma
2 2
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 19:45
AC Milan
1 0
AS Roma
Verona
D L L W W
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Fiorentina
1 2
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Verona
3 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Genoa
2 1
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Verona
1 2
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Lecce
0 0
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Verona
1 2
Inter
Missing Players
AC Milan
Verona
31
m
- Injured - Jumpers knee
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, AC Milan will take on Verona as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2025-12-28 at 2025-12-28 in the famous Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AC Milan, and the visiting side, Verona. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : AC Milan or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-28 Time: 11:30 Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AC Milan vs Verona Sunday, Dec 28th, 2025 at 6:30 Football

Value Bets

2 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Win to Nil AC Milan NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.74
61.6%
EV: +7.2% Stake: $3.38
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Value
Asian Handicap Verona +1.5
Odds: 1.79
58.4%
EV: +4.6% Stake: $3.16
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-26 02:02:15
spinner

Trends for AC Milan vs Verona Football 28 Dec, 2025 6:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📊
    League Position Mismatch

    AC Milan in top 3 vs Verona in relegation zone — significant quality gap

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

AC Milan vs Verona

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 AC Milan

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.1

✈️ Verona

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 AC Milan - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Verona - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 AC Milan - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Verona - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: AC Milan has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider AC Milan handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.162
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.031
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (AC Milan):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Verona):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

AC Milan
Verona

AC Milan vs Verona Head-to-head statistics for Sun 28 Dec, 2025 @ 6:30 Serie A

AC Milan vs Verona: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for AC Milan and away matches for Verona

Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Verona
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Verona
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
1X2
AC Milan
Verona
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
0% 0
50% 5
Double Chance
AC Milan
Verona
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
100% 10
50% 5
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
AC Milan
Verona
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
40% 4
30% 3
Total Corners
AC Milan
Under
Over
Verona
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Verona
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
AC Milan
Verona
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
40% 4
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2
xG(xGa)
AC Milan
Verona
xG
1.69
1.2
xGa
1.23
1.18
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Verona
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Verona
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
AC Milan
Verona
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
60% 6
60% 6
2
10% 1
10% 1
Double Chance
AC Milan
Verona
12
40% 4
40% 4
1X
90% 9
90% 9
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
AC Milan
Verona
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Verona
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Verona
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Verona
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
AC Milan
Verona
1
40% 4
0% 0
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
20% 2
50% 5
Double Chance
AC Milan
Verona
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
80% 8
50% 5
X2
60% 6
100% 10
Total Goals
AC Milan
Verona
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Verona
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8
Team comparison
Prediction
Verona AH+2
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
21.1%
Low
3.80
0.8%
Low
N/A
-2
31.3%
Low
3.24
2.3%
Low
N/A
-1.5
41.5%
Low
2.20
3.8%
Low
17.00
-1
54.0%
Medium
1.62
8.5%
Low
17.00
-0.5
66.5%
Medium
1.39
13.2%
Low
6.80
+0.5
86.7%
High
1.10
33.5%
Low
3.25
+1
91.5%
High
1.01
45.9%
Low
2.42
+1.5
96.2%
High
1.01
58.4%
Medium
1.79
+2
97.7%
High
N/A
68.7%
Medium
1.39
+2.5
99.2%
High
N/A
78.9%
High
1.25
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.74%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.559.95%Medium1.56
Under 1.540.05%Low2.50
AwayOver 1.518.21%Low6.50
Under 1.581.79%High1.17
HomeOver 2.532.89%Low2.80
Under 2.567.11%Medium1.47
AwayOver 2.54.38%Low21.00
Under 2.595.62%High1.03
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
15 Feb
- 19:45
AC Milan
Verona
2.15
xG
0.37
1
0
20 Dec
- 19:45
Verona
AC Milan
0.68
xG
0.81
0
1
17 Mar
- 14:00
Verona
AC Milan
1
3
23 Sep
- 13:00
AC Milan
Verona
1
0
4 Jun
- 19:00
AC Milan
Verona
3
1
16 Oct
- 18:45
Verona
AC Milan
1
2
8 May
- 18:45
Verona
AC Milan
1
3
16 Oct
- 18:45
AC Milan
Verona
3
2
club logo
AC Milan
Verona
Played: 8
Wins
8
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
17
2.1
Goals
0.8
6
6
0.8
Goals Conceded
2.1
17
16
2
Yellow Cards
2.6
21
0
Red Cards
0
3
0.4
Clean Sheets
0
48
6
Corners
4.4
35
72
9
Fouls
14.9
119
13
1.6
Offsides
1
8
124
15.5
Shots
10.9
87
42
5.3
Shots on Goal
3
24
Home Away All
Played 8 7 15
Wins 5 4 9
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 1 0 1
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.5 12 1.7 12 1.6 24
Goals Conceded 1 8 0.7 5 0.9 13
Yellow Cards 1.8 14 1.3 9 1.5 23
Red Cards 0.3 2 0 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.6 4 0.5 7
Corners 4.4 35 3 21 3.7 56
Fouls 11.1 89 8.1 57 9.7 146
Offsides 1.4 11 2.3 16 1.8 27
Shots 14.8 118 11.1 78 13.1 196
Shots on Goal 4.9 39 4.3 30 4.6 69
Home Away All
Played 7 8 15
Wins 1 1 2
Draws 3 3 6
Losses 3 4 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.1 8 0.6 5 0.9 13
Goals Conceded 1.3 9 1.6 13 1.5 22
Yellow Cards 2.4 17 3 24 2.7 41
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Corners 4.9 34 2.9 23 3.8 57
Fouls 16.6 116 17.8 142 17.2 258
Offsides 2 14 2 16 2 30
Shots 12.7 89 11.4 91 12 180
Shots on Goal 5.4 38 3.9 31 4.6 69
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