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AC Milan vs Sassuolo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 5:30
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.67 vs 1.08
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.53%
0:1
6.97%
⭐
0:2
3.72%
⭐
0:3
1.32%
⭐
0:4
0.35%
⭐
0:5
0.08%
1
1:0
10.82%
1:1
11.63%
🔥
⭐
1:2
6.25%
⭐
1:3
2.24%
⭐
1:4
0.6%
⭐
1:5
0.13%
2
2:0
8.96%
2:1
9.71%
2:2
5.25%
⭐
2:3
1.9%
⭐
2:4
0.51%
⭐
2:5
0.11%
3
3:0
4.95%
3:1
5.4%
3:2
2.94%
3:3
1.07%
⭐
3:4
0.29%
⭐
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
2.05%
4:1
2.25%
4:2
1.24%
4:3
0.45%
⭐
4:4
0.12%
⭐
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.68%
5:1
0.75%
5:2
0.42%
5:3
0.15%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
▲
8
4
1
19
9
10
28
2
▲
9
1
3
20
11
9
28
9
▲
5
3
5
14
20
-6
18
10
▼
5
2
6
16
16
0
17
11
4
5
4
16
17
-1
17
Last 6 Matches
AC Milan
VS
Sassuolo
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.00
PPG
1.17
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
50%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.61
Avg xG
1.11
1.67
xG [Total: 2.75]
1.08
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
4
Corners [Total: 8]
3
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
2
10
Fouls [Total: 21]
11
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
4
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, AC Milan will take on Sassuolo as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AC Milan, and the visiting side, Sassuolo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : AC Milan or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-14
Time: 11:30
Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AC Milan vs Sassuolo Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 5:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for AC Milan vs Sassuolo Football 14 Dec, 2025 5:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
AC Milan have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
AC Milan create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for AC Milan vs Sassuolo, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — AC Milan @ 1.47 ✅ 
AC Milan
- Top Table FormLeague75%AC Milan are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- Above League AverageLeague7/771.5%AC Milan score 1.43 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%AC Milan concede only 0.86 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%AC Milan create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%AC Milan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
Sassuolo
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Sassuolo have not won in 12 of their last 15 Serie A (Away) matches
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Sassuolo have not won in 23 of their last 30 Serie A matches
Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — AC Milan to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.97 
AC Milan(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/757%AC Milan score (1.43/match) and concede (0.86/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 47%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.82 ⚠️
AC Milan(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/771.5%AC Milan score 1.43 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%AC Milan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
Combined 1.4 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — AC Milan Win or Draw @ 1.11 ✅
AC Milan
- Top Table FormLeague75%AC Milan are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%AC Milan concede only 0.86 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Sassuolo
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Sassuolo have not won in 12 of their last 15 Serie A (Away) matches
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Sassuolo have not won in 23 of their last 30 Serie A matches
AC Milan confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — AC Milan Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.55 ✅ 
AC Milan
- Above League AverageLeague7/771.5%AC Milan score 1.43 goals/match at home (+23% above league average)
AC Milan's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
AC Milan(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague13/1384.5%AC Milan average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 2.0)
Sassuolo(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H5/683%Sassuolo receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs AC Milan
- High Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Sassuolo average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+22% above league avg 2.0) — rank #4 in league
AC Milan disciplined play balances Sassuolo aggression — • H2H average: 5.5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.79 ✅
AC Milan(2 trends) — avg 5.5 (+15% above league)
- Many CornersH2H5/683%AC Milan win 6+ corners in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Sassuolo
- Corner DominanceH2H5/683%AC Milan dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Sassuolo
Sassuolo(1 trends) — avg 3.1 (-29% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Sassuolo average 3.1 corners/match in away matches (-29% below league avg 4.4)
Sassuolo drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.79
+10 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
AC Milan vs Sassuolo
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Sassuolo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3).
🔄 Second Half: Sassuolo is stronger in the second half (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Sassuolo is stronger in the second half (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 AC Milan
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Sassuolo
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 AC Milan - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Sassuolo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 AC Milan - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Sassuolo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Sassuolo often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Sassuolo scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Sassuolo shows superior performance after the break (11 vs 7 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Sassuolo winning the second half
- Overall Result: AC Milan has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider AC Milan handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.21
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.064
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (AC Milan):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sassuolo):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
AC Milan vs Sassuolo Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 5:30 Serie A
AC Milan vs Sassuolo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for AC Milan and away matches for Sassuolo
Number of goals
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
1X2
AC Milan
Sassuolo
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
0%
0
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
AC Milan
Sassuolo
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
100%
10
60%
6
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
AC Milan
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
AC Milan
Sassuolo
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
AC Milan
Sassuolo
xG
1.59
1.08
xGa
1.34
1.21
Number of goals
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
AC Milan
Sassuolo
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
0%
0
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
AC Milan
Sassuolo
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
100%
10
60%
6
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
Number of goals
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2
1X2
AC Milan
Sassuolo
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
AC Milan
Sassuolo
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Team comparison
Prediction
AC Milan Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.93%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 49.74% | Low | 1.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 50.26% | Medium | 2.55 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 29.36% | Low | 5.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 70.64% | High | 1.18 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 23.49% | Low | 2.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 76.51% | High | 1.47 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 9.56% | Low | 17.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 90.44% | High | 1.03 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Played:
6
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
10
1.7
Goals
1.8
11
11
1.8
Goals Conceded
1.7
10
15
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.8
17
1
0.2
Red Cards
0
3
0.5
Clean Sheets
0.2
1
36
6
Corners
3.7
22
71
11.8
Fouls
9.3
56
25
4.2
Offsides
1.5
9
96
16
Shots
11.5
69
30
5
Shots on Goal
4.8
29
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 10 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.5 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 6 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.7 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 13 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.6 | 21 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.5 | 7 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 29 | 2.8 | 17 | 3.5 | 46 |
| Fouls | 11 | 77 | 8.3 | 50 | 9.8 | 127 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 9 | 2.2 | 13 | 1.7 | 22 |
| Shots | 15.3 | 107 | 10.2 | 61 | 12.9 | 168 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.9 | 34 | 4 | 24 | 4.5 | 58 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 7 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.2 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 8 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.2 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 15 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.4 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 3.2 | 19 | 3.1 | 22 | 3.2 | 41 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 76 | 11.9 | 83 | 12.2 | 159 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 9 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.8 | 24 |
| Shots | 12.2 | 73 | 9.7 | 68 | 10.8 | 141 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.7 | 22 | 4.1 | 29 | 3.9 | 51 |
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