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Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 26
Preview
AC Milan
AC Milan
2nd place
Form
VS
17:00
22 Feb 2026
Parma
Parma
12th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : AC Milan or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

AC Milan vs Parma: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 February, 2026 11:00

Winner (1x2)-
AC Milan to Win
Probability 70%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 54%
Double Chance-
AC Milan/Draw
Probability 90%
Asian Handicap-
AC Milan +2.5
Probability 100%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
17:00
AC Milan W 71%
:
Parma W 9%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
AC Milan
w w d w w
11 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (17 total)
xG
1.80 (20.3 total)
Shots per Match
16.5 (181 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (32% acc)
Corners
5.8 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
10.5 (115 total)
Offsides
1.7 (19 total)
13 Played
8 Wins
5 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (23 total)
xG
1.50 (19.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.1 (131 total)
Shots on Target
4 (40% acc)
Corners
3.1 (40 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
8.8 (114 total)
Offsides
1.9 (25 total)
24 Played
15 Wins
8 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (40 total)
xG
1.60 (39.4 total)
Shots per Match
13 (312 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (35% acc)
Corners
4.3 (104 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
9.5 (229 total)
Offsides
1.8 (44 total)
Parma
d l l w w
13 Played
3 Wins
4 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (10 total)
xG
0.90 (11.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.2 (159 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (23% acc)
Corners
4.1 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
10.1 (131 total)
Offsides
1.5 (19 total)
12 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (8 total)
xG
0.90 (10.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (122 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (29% acc)
Corners
3.7 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
10.8 (130 total)
Offsides
0.9 (11 total)
25 Played
7 Wins
8 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (18 total)
xG
0.90 (22.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (281 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (26% acc)
Corners
3.9 (97 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
10.4 (261 total)
Offsides
1.2 (30 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No Asian Handicap predictions available

No Team Total predictions available

In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, AC Milan will take on Parma as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-02-22 at 2026-02-22 in the famous Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AC Milan, and the visiting side, Parma. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : AC Milan or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-22 Time: 17:00 Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AC Milan vs Parma Sunday, Feb 22nd, 2026 at 11:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-17 02:45:25
spinner

Trends for AC Milan vs Parma Football 22 Feb, 2026 11:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Parma struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent away matches

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

AC Milan vs Parma

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: AC Milan is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 AC Milan

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Parma

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 AC Milan - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Parma - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 AC Milan - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Parma - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: AC Milan is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider AC Milan to win the first half
  • Overall Result: AC Milan has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider AC Milan handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.159
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.002
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (AC Milan):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Parma):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

AC Milan
Parma

AC Milan vs Parma Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Feb, 2026 @ 11:00 Serie A

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Inter
w w w w w
>
25
20
1
4
60
21
39
61
2
AC Milan
w w d w w
>
24
15
8
1
40
18
22
53
3
Napoli
w l w w d
>
25
15
5
5
38
25
13
50

11
Udinese
l w w l l
>
25
9
5
11
28
38
-10
32
12
Parma
d l l w w
>
25
7
8
10
18
31
-13
29
13
Cagliari
w w w l l
>
25
7
7
11
28
35
-7
28
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : AC Milan or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
AC Milan
VS
Parma
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (6)
2 (6)
xG
2.10
1.70
Shots
13.7 (41)
11.7 (35)
Shots on Target
5 (15)
4.7 (14)
Corners
6.3 (19)
3.7 (11)
Defense
Conceded
2 (6)
2 (6)
xGa
1.70
2.10
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (6)
2 (6)
Fouls
12.3 (37)
9.7 (29)
Offsides
2.3 (7)
1.3 (4)
8 Nov
- 19:45
Parma
AC Milan
1.84
xG
1.99
2
2
Prob 64%
Match Winner 2
Odd 1.61
26 Jan
- 11:30
AC Milan
Parma
2.32
xG
1.66
3
2
24 Aug
- 16:30
Parma
AC Milan
1.73
xG
1.95
2
1
Last 6 Matches
AC Milan
VS
Parma
4/6 (67%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
2.33 PPG 1.33
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
67% BTTS % 33%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.85 Avg xG 0.72
AC Milan
W W D W W
Serie A 2025-2026
13 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Pisa
1 2
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
3 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Bologna
0 3
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 19:45
AS Roma
1 1
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
18 Jan 2026 - 19:45
AC Milan
1 0
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
15 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Como
1 3
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
11 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Fiorentina
1 1
AC Milan
Parma
D L L W W
Serie A 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 14:00
Parma
2 1
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Feb 2026 - 11:30
Bologna
0 1
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Parma
1 4
Juventus
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Atalanta
4 0
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
18 Jan 2026 - 11:30
Parma
0 0
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Napoli
0 0
Parma

AC Milan vs Parma: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for AC Milan and away matches for Parma

Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Parma
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1X2
AC Milan
Parma
1
60% 6
40% 4
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
0% 0
30% 3
Double Chance
AC Milan
Parma
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
100% 10
70% 7
X2
40% 4
60% 6
Total Goals
AC Milan
Parma
0-1
20% 2
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
AC Milan
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Parma
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
AC Milan
Parma
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
30% 3
xG(xGa)
AC Milan
Parma
xG
1.79
0.77
xGa
0.96
1.68
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Parma
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
AC Milan
Parma
1
30% 3
0% 0
X
60% 6
60% 6
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
AC Milan
Parma
12
40% 4
40% 4
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
70% 7
100% 10
Total Goals
AC Milan
Parma
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Parma
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Parma
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2
AC Milan
Parma
1
60% 6
40% 4
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
0% 0
30% 3
Double Chance
AC Milan
Parma
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
100% 10
70% 7
X2
40% 4
60% 6
Total Goals
AC Milan
Parma
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Parma
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
1.70 xG 0.46
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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