Login
Register
Fiorentina
1
1
AC Milan
AC Milan vs Lecce: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 18 January, 2026 13:45
Premium Tip
💎 PREMIUM
Premium Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.
Upgrade to PremiumPrediction League
10
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(16 total)
xG
1.80
(17.7 total)
Shots per Match
16.1
(161 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(32% acc)
Corners
5.4
(54 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
10.6
(106 total)
Offsides
1.3
(13 total)
9
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(14 total)
xG
1.40
(12.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(102 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(36% acc)
Corners
3.7
(33 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(56%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
8.8
(79 total)
Offsides
2
(18 total)
19
Played
11
Wins
7
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(30 total)
xG
1.60
(30.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(263 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(34% acc)
Corners
4.6
(87 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.7
(185 total)
Offsides
1.6
(31 total)
11
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6
(7 total)
xG
0.90
(9.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(113 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(27% acc)
Corners
4.7
(52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
12.4
(136 total)
Offsides
1.1
(12 total)
9
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(6 total)
xG
0.60
(5.2 total)
Shots per Match
8.9
(80 total)
Shots on Target
1.9
(21% acc)
Corners
4.6
(41 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.6
(113 total)
Offsides
0.8
(7 total)
20
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(13 total)
xG
0.80
(15.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.7
(193 total)
Shots on Target
2.4
(24% acc)
Corners
4.7
(93 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.5
(249 total)
Offsides
1
(19 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.41 vs 0.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.34%
0:1
2.97%
0:2
0.83%
0:3
0.15%
0:4
0.02%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
12.48%
1:1
7.34%
1:2
2.15%
1:3
0.42%
1:4
0.06%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
14.58%
🔥
2:1
9.03%
2:2
2.78%
2:3
0.57%
⭐
2:4
0.09%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
11.36%
3:1
7.39%
⭐
3:2
2.39%
⭐
3:3
0.51%
⭐
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
6.64%
4:1
4.53%
⭐
4:2
1.53%
⭐
4:3
0.34%
⭐
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
3.1%
5:1
2.21%
⭐
5:2
0.78%
⭐
5:3
0.18%
⭐
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
2:0 (14.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, AC Milan will take on Lecce as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-01-18 at 2026-01-18 in the famous Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AC Milan, and the visiting side, Lecce. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : AC Milan or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-18
Time: 19:45
Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AC Milan vs Lecce Sunday, Jan 18th, 2026 at 13:45 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for AC Milan vs Lecce Football 18 Jan, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Toothless Attack
Lecce struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent away matches
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for AC Milan vs Lecce, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — AC Milan @ 1.34 ✅ 
AC Milan
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H7/7100%AC Milan efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 7 Serie A matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/874%AC Milan score 1.50 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%AC Milan are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/870%AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%AC Milan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
- UnbeatenRecent14/1593%AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 14 15 matches
AC Milan dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.53 ⚠️ 
AC Milan(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%AC Milan score (1.50/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 47%)
Lecce(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/771%Lecce struggle to score in away matches (0.71/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.96 ✅
AC Milan(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/874%AC Milan score 1.50 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/870%AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%AC Milan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Lecce(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/771%Lecce struggle to score in away matches (0.71/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%Lecce scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/771.4%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
Combined 1.5 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — AC Milan Win or Draw @ 1.06 ✅ 
AC Milan
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%AC Milan are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- UnbeatenRecent14/1593%AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 14 15 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent14/1593%AC Milan are undefeated at half time in 14 of their last 15 Serie A matches
AC Milan dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — AC Milan Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.52 ✅ 
AC Milan
- Above League AverageLeague8/874%AC Milan score 1.50 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/870%AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
- Scored 1+Recent7/7100%AC Milan scored 1+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
- Scored 2+Recent7/7100%AC Milan scored 2+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
AC Milan maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.25 ⚠️ 
AC Milan(1 trends) — avg 1.8 (-18% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%AC Milan average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0) — rank #5 lowest in league
Lecce(1 trends) — avg 1.9 (-14% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%Lecce average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0) — rank #4 lowest in league
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.25
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.80 ⚠️ 
Lecce(1 trends) — avg 5.4 (+24% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Lecce average 5.4 corners/match in away matches (+24% above league avg 4.4)
Lecce drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.80
+17 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
AC Milan vs Lecce
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: AC Milan is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 AC Milan
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.05
✈️ Lecce
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 AC Milan - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Lecce - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 AC Milan - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Lecce - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: AC Milan is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider AC Milan to win the first half
- Overall Result: AC Milan has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider AC Milan handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.209
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.015
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (AC Milan):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lecce):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
AC Milan vs Lecce Head-to-head statistics for Sun 18 Jan, 2026 @ 13:45 Serie A
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
15
1
4
43
17
26
46
2
11
7
1
30
15
15
40
3
▲
12
4
4
30
17
13
40
16
4
7
9
21
30
-9
19
17
4
5
11
13
28
-15
17
18
2
8
10
21
31
-10
14
Team comparison
Prediction
AC Milan to Win
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
AC Milan
VS
Lecce
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4 (17)
0.9 (6)
xG
2.30
0.60
Shots
13 (91)
12.1 (85)
Shots on Target
6.4 (45)
4.4 (31)
Corners
4.3 (30)
3.9 (27)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 (6)
2.4 (17)
xGa
0.60
2.30
Clean Sheets
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 (11)
1.4 (10)
Red Cards
0.4 (3)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
8.9 (62)
10.1 (71)
Offsides
2.7 (19)
1.1 (8)
Last 6 Matches
AC Milan
VS
Lecce
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
2.00
PPG
0.67
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.50
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.76
Avg xG
0.74
AC Milan vs Lecce: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for AC Milan and away matches for Lecce
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Lecce
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
AC Milan
Lecce
1
60%
6
20%
2
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
0%
0
60%
6
Double Chance
AC Milan
Lecce
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
100%
10
40%
4
X2
40%
4
80%
8
Total Goals
AC Milan
Lecce
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
70%
7
4+
30%
3
0%
0
Total Corners
AC Milan
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Lecce
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
AC Milan
Lecce
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
AC Milan
Lecce
xG
1.84
0.74
xGa
1.09
1.57
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Lecce
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2
AC Milan
Lecce
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
AC Milan
Lecce
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
AC Milan
Lecce
0-1
70%
7
90%
9
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Lecce
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Lecce
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
90%
9
10%
1
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Lecce
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2
AC Milan
Lecce
1
60%
6
10%
1
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
10%
1
80%
8
Double Chance
AC Milan
Lecce
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
90%
9
20%
2
X2
40%
4
90%
9
Total Goals
AC Milan
Lecce
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Lecce
Yes
70%
7
20%
2
No
30%
3
80%
8
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
2.17
xG
0.54
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
West Ham Might Have Discovered a £26m Alternative to Fullkrug
Gimenez's Agent Dismisses Premier League Transfer Speculation
Milan Resumes Pursuit of Crystal Palace Striker Mateta
Milan Player Ratings vs. Lazio: Leao Shines in MVP Performance
Leao Nets as Milan Tops Lazio to Claim Serie A Leadership
Serie A 2025/26 Season Preview: The Scudetto, Surprises, and the Race for Glory
Juventus Far from Securing Any Defensive Targets
Milan on the Verge of Replacing Coach Fonseca with Conceição
Exhausted Rossoneri Held to Another Draw