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AC Milan vs Atalanta: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 10 May, 2026 13:45
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17
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(22 total)
xG
1.60
(26.6 total)
Shots per Match
15.2
(259 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(31% acc)
Corners
4.8
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
10.3
(175 total)
Offsides
1.6
(28 total)
18
Played
10
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(26 total)
xG
1.40
(24.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.2
(184 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(35% acc)
Corners
3.4
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.3
(168 total)
Offsides
1.9
(35 total)
35
Played
19
Wins
10
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(48 total)
xG
1.50
(51.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.7
(443 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(33% acc)
Corners
4.1
(143 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
15
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(5 total)
Fouls
9.8
(343 total)
Offsides
1.8
(63 total)
24
Played
12
Wins
7
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(36 total)
xG
1.80
(42.2 total)
Shots per Match
16.8
(403 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(29% acc)
Corners
6.3
(151 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.4
(249 total)
Offsides
1.9
(45 total)
23
Played
7
Wins
7
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(27 total)
xG
1.30
(30.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(267 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(34% acc)
Corners
4.3
(99 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.9
(251 total)
Offsides
2.2
(51 total)
47
Played
19
Wins
14
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(63 total)
xG
1.50
(72.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.3
(670 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(31% acc)
Corners
5.3
(250 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
16
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(2 total)
Fouls
10.6
(500 total)
Offsides
2
(96 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.03 vs 1.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.77%
⭐
0:1
12.94%
⭐
0:2
7.78%
⭐
0:3
3.12%
⭐
0:4
0.94%
⭐
0:5
0.23%
⭐
1
1:0
9.39%
1:1
12.99%
🔥
1:2
8.83%
⭐
1:3
3.95%
⭐
1:4
1.31%
⭐
1:5
0.34%
⭐
2
2:0
4.09%
2:1
6.4%
2:2
4.88%
2:3
2.42%
2:4
0.88%
⭐
2:5
0.25%
⭐
3
3:0
1.19%
3:1
2.08%
3:2
1.75%
3:3
0.96%
3:4
0.38%
3:5
0.12%
4
4:0
0.26%
4:1
0.5%
4:2
0.46%
4:3
0.28%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.05%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.0%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AC Milan vs Atalanta Sunday, May 10th, 2026 at 13:45 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for AC Milan vs Atalanta Football 10 May, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for AC Milan vs Atalanta.
🏆 Match Winner — AC Milan @ 2.28 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan
Above League AverageLeague
AC Milan score 1.50 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 874%
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Unlock Streak TrendsTop Table FormLeague
AC Milan are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak Trends70%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 870%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
AC Milan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends15 / 15100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 14 15 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡AC Milan demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.67 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
AC Milan score (1.50/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 47%)
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Unlock Streak TrendsAtalanta1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Atalanta score (1.13/match) and concede (1.25/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 47%)
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 863%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 6 of their last 9 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.06 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan3 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
AC Milan score 1.50 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 874%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 870%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioRecent
AC Milan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends15 / 15100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsAtalanta1 TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Atalanta scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 9 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 1.5 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — AC Milan Win or Draw @ 1.35 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan
Top Table FormLeague
AC Milan are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak Trends70%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 14 15 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends14 / 1593%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
AC Milan are undefeated at half time in 14 of their last 15 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends14 / 1593%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡AC Milan demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — AC Milan Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.08 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan
Above League AverageLeague
AC Milan score 1.50 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 874%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
AC Milan rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 870%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
AC Milan scored 1+ goals in 8 of their last 9 Serie A matches
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 989%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡AC Milan maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.90 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAC Milan1 Trends — avg 1.7 (-22% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
AC Milan average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0) — rank #4 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends15 / 1590%
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Unlock Streak TrendsAtalanta1 Trends — avg 1.7 (-22% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Atalanta average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-23% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.90
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.00 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAtalanta1 Trends — avg 5.6 (+27% above league)Many CornersLeague
Atalanta average 5.6 corners/match in away matches (+27% above league avg 4.4)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 885%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Atalanta drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.00
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
AC Milan vs Atalanta
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Atalanta is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Atalanta is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Atalanta is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Atalanta is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Atalanta is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 AC Milan
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.04
✈️ Atalanta
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 AC Milan - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Atalanta - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 AC Milan - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Atalanta - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Atalanta often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Atalanta scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Atalanta is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Atalanta to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Atalanta excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Atalanta scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: AC Milan has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider AC Milan handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.015
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.096
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (AC Milan):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atalanta):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Head-to-head statistics for Sun 10 May, 2026 @ 13:45 Serie A
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
▲
19
11
6
59
30
29
68
4
▼
19
10
6
48
29
19
67
5
20
4
11
52
29
23
64
6
17
11
7
59
28
31
62
7
14
13
8
47
32
15
55
8
13
12
11
39
37
2
51
Team comparison
Prediction
Atalanta AH+1.5
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
AC Milan
VS
Atalanta
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
3
Draws
3
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (13)
1.2 (11)
xG
0.50
1.70
Shots
12.7 (114)
12.8 (115)
Shots on Target
4.2 (38)
3.7 (33)
Corners
4.3 (39)
5.8 (52)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 (11)
1.4 (13)
xGa
1.70
0.50
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (21)
1.9 (17)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
10.1 (91)
12.2 (110)
Offsides
1.1 (10)
0.8 (7)
Last 6 Matches
AC Milan
VS
Atalanta
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.33
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
17%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.83
Avg xG
1.35
AC Milan vs Atalanta: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for AC Milan and away matches for Atalanta
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Atalanta
Yes
10%
1
60%
6
No
90%
9
40%
4
1X2
AC Milan
Atalanta
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
10%
1
40%
4
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
AC Milan
Atalanta
12
90%
9
60%
6
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
AC Milan
Atalanta
0-1
60%
6
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
10%
1
40%
4
Total Corners
AC Milan
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Atalanta
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
AC Milan
Atalanta
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
AC Milan
Atalanta
xG
1.09
1.4
xGa
0.95
1.55
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Atalanta
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
AC Milan
Atalanta
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
AC Milan
Atalanta
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
AC Milan
Atalanta
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Atalanta
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Number of goals
AC Milan
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AC Milan
Atalanta
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
AC Milan
Atalanta
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
AC Milan
Atalanta
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
AC Milan
Atalanta
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
AC Milan
Atalanta
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Broken cheekbone
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Broken cheekbone
-
Suspended - Red Card
1.02
xG
1.32
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, AC Milan will take on Atalanta as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 36 and will take place on 2026-05-10 at 2026-05-10 in the famous Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
The referee for the game will be L. Zufferli. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AC Milan, and the visiting side, Atalanta. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Atalanta and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-10
Time: 18:45
Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!