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Form
Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18
Preview
1.FC Köln
1.FC Köln
12th place
Form
VS
14:30
17 Jan 2026
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
16th place
Form
AI Prediction 1.FC Köln or Draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

1.FC Köln vs FSV Mainz 05: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 8:30

Winner (1x2)2.28
1.FC Köln to Win
Probability 44%
Total Goals1.81
Over 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score1.62
Yes
Probability 60%
1.FC Köln Total1.23
Home Under 2.5
Probability 78%
FSV Mainz 05 Total1.55
Away Under 1.5
Probability 66%
Double Chance1.42
1.FC Köln/Draw
Probability 74%
Asian Handicap1.24
FSV Mainz 05 +1.5
Probability 79%
Best Tip
Value
Double Chance 1.FC Köln or Draw
Odds 1.42
Win Prob. 74.4% EV: +5.7%
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Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
14:30
1.FC Köln W 49%
:
FSV Mainz 05 W 26%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
1.FC Köln
d l l d l
8 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (15 total)
xG
1.20 (9.7 total)
Shots per Match
12 (96 total)
Shots on Target
5 (42% acc)
Corners
3.8 (30 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
7.8 (62 total)
Offsides
2.8 (22 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10 total)
xG
1.20 (10.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.3 (102 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (34% acc)
Corners
3.7 (33 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
8.6 (77 total)
Offsides
1 (9 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (25 total)
xG
1.20 (20.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (198 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (38% acc)
Corners
3.7 (63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
8.2 (139 total)
Offsides
1.8 (31 total)
FSV Mainz 05
d w d d w
13 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (16 total)
xG
1.30 (16.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (171 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (27% acc)
Corners
5.6 (73 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.9 (155 total)
Offsides
2.6 (34 total)
12 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (13 total)
xG
0.90 (11.1 total)
Shots per Match
10 (120 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (28% acc)
Corners
4.4 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
11.3 (135 total)
Offsides
2 (24 total)
25 Played
7 Wins
7 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (29 total)
xG
1.10 (27.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (291 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (27% acc)
Corners
5 (126 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
11.6 (290 total)
Offsides
2.3 (58 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.61 vs 1.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.99%
0:1
7.4%
0:2
3.92%
0:3
1.38%
0:4
0.37%
0:5
0.08%
1
1:0
9.64%
1:1
11.82%
🔥
1:2
7.12%
1:3
2.81%
1:4
0.83%
1:5
0.19%
2
2:0
6.65%
2:1
9.26%
2:2
6.27%
2:3
2.76%
2:4
0.89%
2:5
0.23%
3
3:0
3.06%
3:1
4.77%
3:2
3.6%
3:3
1.75%
3:4
0.62%
3:5
0.17%
4
4:0
1.05%
4:1
1.82%
4:2
1.51%
4:3
0.81%
4:4
0.32%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.29%
5:1
0.55%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.29%
5:4
0.12%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.0%
0
17.0%
1
22.4%
2
20.8%
3
15.3%
4
9.4%
5
4.9%
6
2.2%
7
0.8%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

1.FC KölnHDPFSV Mainz 05
7.8%
Very Low@ 7.70
-2.5
3.2%
@ 14.50Very Low
14.3%
Very Low@ 7.00
-2
7.1%
@ 13.00Very Low
20.9%
Low@ 4.10
-1.5
11.0%
@ 6.25Very Low
32.6%
Low@ 3.36
-1
19.9%
@ 5.50Very Low
44.2%
Medium@ 2.25
-0.5
28.8%
@ 3.18Low
71.2%
High@ 1.40
+0.5
55.8%
@ 1.72Medium
80.1%
Very High@ 1.15
+1
67.4%
@ 1.35High
89.0%
Very High@ 1.12
+1.5
79.1%
@ 1.23High
92.9%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
85.6%
@ 1.10Very High
96.8%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
92.2%
@ 1.06Very High

Team Total Predictions

1.FC KölnOutcomeFSV Mainz 05
80.0%
Very High@ 1.21
Over 0.5
72.5%
@ 1.31High
20.0%
Very Low@ 4.50
Under 0.5
27.5%
@ 3.50Low
47.8%
Medium@ 2.02
Over 1.5
37.0%
@ 2.56Low
52.2%
Medium@ 1.83
Under 1.5
63.0%
@ 1.53High
21.9%
Low@ 4.50
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 6.50Very Low
78.1%
High@ 1.23
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.14Very High
8.0%
Very Low@ 11.00
Over 3.5
4.2%
@ 17.00Very Low
92.0%
Very High@ 1.06
Under 3.5
95.8%
@ 1.03Very High
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, 1.FC Köln will take on FSV Mainz 05 as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous RheinEnergieSTADION. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, 1.FC Köln, and the visiting side, FSV Mainz 05. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or FSV Mainz 05. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-17 Time: 14:30 Location: RheinEnergieSTADION Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for 1.FC Köln vs FSV Mainz 05 Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 8:30 Football

AI Value Bets
4 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 74.4%
EV: +5.7%
Stake: $5.95
1.42
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 74.4%
EV: +4.2%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Premium Tip FSV Mainz 05 Under 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 65.5%
EV: +1.6%
Stake: $4.55
1.55
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 15:01:34
spinner

Trends for 1.FC Köln vs FSV Mainz 05 Football 17 Jan, 2026 8:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 86% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    1.FC Köln rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

1.FC Köln vs FSV Mainz 05

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: 1.FC Köln is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 1.FC Köln

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.16

✈️ FSV Mainz 05

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 1.FC Köln - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

✈️ FSV Mainz 05 - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 1.FC Köln - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
10

✈️ FSV Mainz 05 - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: 1.FC Köln is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8)
  • First Half Result: Consider 1.FC Köln to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.238
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.023
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (1.FC Köln):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05

1.FC Köln vs FSV Mainz 05 Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
VfL Wolfsburg
w w l l w
>
17
5
3
9
26
37
-11
18
12
1.FC Köln
d l l d l
>
17
4
5
8
25
29
-4
17
13
Werder Bremen
d l l d l
>
16
4
5
7
18
31
-13
17

15
FC Augsburg
l w l d l
>
16
4
2
10
17
32
-15
14
16
FSV Mainz 05
l d d d w
>
17
2
6
9
17
29
-12
12
17
FC St. Pauli
l d w d l
>
16
3
3
10
14
28
-14
12
Team comparison
Prediction
1.FC Köln or Draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
1.FC Köln
VS
FSV Mainz 05
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
4 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (7)
1.4 (10)
xG
1.20
0.90
Shots
10.7 (75)
12.6 (88)
Shots on Target
3.9 (27)
3.9 (27)
Corners
4.6 (32)
5.4 (38)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 (10)
1 (7)
xGa
0.90
1.20
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 (18)
2.3 (16)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.3 (2)
Fouls
11.7 (82)
14.7 (103)
Offsides
0.4 (3)
2.1 (15)
24 Aug
- 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
1.FC Köln
0.89
xG
1.17
0
1
28 Apr
- 15:30
FSV Mainz 05
1.FC Köln
1
1
10 Dec
- 16:30
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
0
0
15 Apr
- 13:30
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
21 Oct
- 18:30
FSV Mainz 05
1.FC Köln
5
0
9 Apr
- 13:30
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
3
2
21 Nov
- 16:30
FSV Mainz 05
1.FC Köln
1
1
Last 6 Matches
1.FC Köln
VS
FSV Mainz 05
0/6 (0%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
0.50 PPG 1.00
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
67% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.98 Avg xG 1.15
1.FC Köln
D L L D L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Jan 2026 - 19:30
1.FC Köln
1 3
Bayern München
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Jan 2026 - 14:30
1. FC Heidenheim
2 2
1.FC Köln
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 14:30
1.FC Köln
0 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Bayer Leverkusen
2 0
1.FC Köln
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 14:30
1.FC Köln
1 1
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Werder Bremen
1 1
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
D W D D W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Jan 2026 - 19:30
FSV Mainz 05
2 1
1. FC Heidenheim
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Jan 2026 - 14:30
Union Berlin
2 2
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
0 0
FC St. Pauli
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
18 Dec 2025 - 20:00
FSV Mainz 05
2 0
Samsunspor
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 16:30
Bayern München
2 2
FSV Mainz 05
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Lech Poznan
1 1
FSV Mainz 05

1.FC Köln vs FSV Mainz 05: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for 1.FC Köln and away matches for FSV Mainz 05

Number of goals
1.FC Köln
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
1X2
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
60% 6
30% 3
Double Chance
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
1.FC Köln
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 10
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
30% 3
xG(xGa)
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
xG
1.22
1.08
xGa
1.46
1.9
Number of goals
1.FC Köln
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Number of goals
1.FC Köln
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
1.FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
Missing Players
1.FC Köln
15
d
- Injured - Cruciate ligament stretch
FSV Mainz 05
1.61 xG 1.18
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
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