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1.FC Köln
1.FC Köln vs FC St. Pauli: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 8:30
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Upgrade to PremiumKöln vs. St. Pauli: A Crucial Clash at the Bottom of the Bundesliga
Intro Title
This Bundesliga matchup features 1.FC Köln hosting FC St. Pauli, with both teams desperately seeking points to bolster their league standing. Köln currently sits mid-table at 10th place with 15 points, while St. Pauli lags behind in 17th, having only amassed 7 points so far this season. The stakes are high as both teams aim to shift momentum in their favor.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams come into this fixture with contrasting recent performances, setting the stage for a potentially dramatic encounter.
- 1.FC Köln: The team has struggled lately, with a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches. Despite a decent scoring average of 1.8 goals per match, they have been vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game.
- FC St. Pauli: The away side is in dire straits, having lost their last five matches without scoring a single victory. Their attacking woes are evident, averaging just 0.4 goals per match while conceding 2.4, making their away form particularly troubling.
Head-to-Head
Historically, there have been no previous encounters between these two teams in recent seasons, as they have yet to face off. This match will mark a fresh chapter in their rivalry, with both sides eager to establish dominance early on.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
In terms of tactics, Köln will likely aim to exploit St. Pauli's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly through quick transitions and exploiting space on the wings. Key player M. Schwäbe, Köln's goalkeeper, has been reliable and will be crucial in maintaining defensive stability. For St. Pauli, N. Vasilj is their main defensive anchor, and his performance will be vital in keeping Köln's attackers at bay. How well Vasilj can organize his backline will greatly influence the outcome of the match.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: 1.FC Köln 2 - 0 FC St. Pauli
Reasoning: Given Köln's superior form and home advantage, along with St. Pauli's struggles to score, the prediction leans towards a comfortable win for the home side.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 2.05 (60.1%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 2.05 (54.8%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.76 vs 0.67
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.17%
⭐
0:1
5.47%
0:2
1.47%
0:3
0.26%
0:4
0.04%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
16.54%
🔥
⭐
1:1
10.23%
1:2
3.11%
1:3
0.62%
1:4
0.09%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
13.45%
⭐
2:1
9.4%
2:2
3.2%
2:3
0.71%
2:4
0.12%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
7.3%
⭐
3:1
5.68%
3:2
2.14%
3:3
0.52%
3:4
0.09%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
2.97%
⭐
4:1
2.55%
⭐
4:2
1.06%
4:3
0.28%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.97%
⭐
5:1
0.91%
5:2
0.41%
5:3
0.12%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (16.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
▼
4
4
4
16
21
-5
16
11
▼
4
3
5
21
20
1
15
12
▼
4
3
5
15
19
-4
15
16
2
2
8
10
27
-17
8
17
2
1
9
10
24
-14
7
18
1
3
9
11
24
-13
6
Last 6 Matches
1.FC Köln
VS
FC St. Pauli
1/6 (17%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
6/6 (100%)
0.83
PPG
0.00
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.33
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
2.50
83%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.30
Avg xG
0.62
Missing Players
-
Injured - Cruciate ligament stretch
-
Injured - Concussion
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.77
xG [Total: 2.43]
0.66
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 3]
2
5
Corners [Total: 8]
3
2
Offsides [Total: 5]
2
11
Fouls [Total: 22]
11
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
3
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, 1.FC Köln will take on FC St. Pauli as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 13 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous RheinEnergieSTADION.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, 1.FC Köln, and the visiting side, FC St. Pauli. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : 1. FC Köln.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-06
Time: 14:30
Location: RheinEnergieSTADION
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for 1.FC Köln vs FC St. Pauli Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 8:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for 1.FC Köln vs FC St. Pauli Football 6 Dec, 2025 8:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Toothless Attack
FC St. Pauli struggle to score — failed to find net in 4/6 recent away matches
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for 1.FC Köln vs FC St. Pauli, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — 1.FC Köln @ 2.05 ✅ 
1.FC Köln
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%1.FC Köln score 2.60 goals/match at home (+63% above league average)
FC St. Pauli
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FC St. Pauli are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
1.FC Köln confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.80 ⚠️ 
1.FC Köln(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/5100%1.FC Köln score (2.60/match) and concede (1.80/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 56%)
FC St. Pauli(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/667%FC St. Pauli struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 67% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ⚠️
1.FC Köln(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%1.FC Köln score 2.60 goals/match at home (+63% above league average)
Teams average combined 2.6 goals per match • Defensive consistency suggests Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — 1.FC Köln Win or Draw @ 1.31 ⚠️ 
FC St. Pauli
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FC St. Pauli are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
1.FC Köln confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — 1.FC Köln Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.99 ⚠️
1.FC Köln
- Above League AverageLeague5/575%1.FC Köln score 2.60 goals/match at home (+63% above league average)
FC St. Pauli
- Weak AttackLeague4/667%FC St. Pauli struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 67% of matches
Despite FC St. Pauli's form, FC St. Pauli's defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.20 ⚠️ 
FC St. Pauli(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague12/1290%FC St. Pauli average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 2.1) — rank #3 lowest in league
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.20
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.96 ✅ 
1.FC Köln(1 trends) — avg 4.2 (-14% below league)
- Few CornersLeague5/579%1.FC Köln average 4.2 corners/match at home (-14% below league avg 4.9)
FC St. Pauli(2 trends) — avg 3.0 (-39% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/685%FC St. Pauli average 3.0 corners/match in away matches (-39% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent11/1479%FC St. Pauli win 4 or fewer corners in 11 of their last 14 Bundesliga (Away) matches
Combined average: 7.2 corners/match (1.FC Köln 4.2 + FC St. Pauli 3.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+25 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
1.FC Köln vs FC St. Pauli
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: 1.FC Köln is stronger in the second half (17 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: 1.FC Köln is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: 1.FC Köln is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 1.FC Köln
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.18
✈️ FC St. Pauli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 1.FC Köln - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
✈️ FC St. Pauli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 1.FC Köln - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
9
✈️ FC St. Pauli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: 1.FC Köln shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 12 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of 1.FC Köln winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: 1.FC Köln excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 7 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of 1.FC Köln scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: 1.FC Köln has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider 1.FC Köln handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.024
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.107
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (1.FC Köln):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC St. Pauli):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
1.FC Köln vs FC St. Pauli Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 8:30 Bundesliga
1.FC Köln vs FC St. Pauli: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for 1.FC Köln and away matches for FC St. Pauli
Number of goals
Number of goals
1.FC Köln
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
1X2
1X2
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
30%
3
0%
0
2
50%
5
90%
9
Double Chance
Double Chance
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
12
70%
7
100%
10
1X
50%
5
10%
1
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
60%
6
4+
50%
5
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
1.FC Köln
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
60%
6
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
xG
1.29
0.76
xGa
1.75
1.43
Number of goals
Number of goals
1.FC Köln
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
1X2
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1
20%
2
0%
0
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
40%
4
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
60%
6
40%
4
X2
80%
8
100%
10
Total Goals
Total Goals
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
Number of goals
Number of goals
1.FC Köln
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2
1X2
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
30%
3
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
70%
7
40%
4
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
30%
3
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
FC St. Pauli Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 52.43% | Medium | 1.99 |
| Under 1.5 | 47.57% | Low | 1.86 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 14.49% | Low | 3.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 85.51% | High | 1.38 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 25.79% | Low | 4.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 74.21% | High | 1.24 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 3.04% | Low | 9.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 96.96% | High | 1.08 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.6 | 13 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.8 | 21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 9 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.7 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 7 | 2.3 | 16 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.2 | 21 | 3.7 | 26 | 3.9 | 47 |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 46 | 9.3 | 65 | 9.3 | 111 |
| Offsides | 3.2 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 14.2 | 71 | 11 | 77 | 12.3 | 148 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.8 | 29 | 3.3 | 23 | 4.3 | 52 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.8 | 10 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 14 | 1.7 | 10 | 2 | 24 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 11 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.7 | 20 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Corners | 7.5 | 45 | 2.5 | 15 | 5 | 60 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 65 | 11 | 66 | 10.9 | 131 |
| Offsides | 2.2 | 13 | 2.2 | 13 | 2.2 | 26 |
| Shots | 12.5 | 75 | 10 | 60 | 11.3 | 135 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.7 | 28 | 2.5 | 15 | 3.6 | 43 |