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FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 8:30
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
3
4
5
16
19
-3
13
13
▲
3
3
6
11
18
-7
12
14
▼
3
1
8
15
27
-12
10
17
▼
2
1
9
10
24
-14
7
18
▼
1
3
8
11
23
-12
6
Last 6 Matches
FSV Mainz 05
VS
Hamburger SV
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
0.33
PPG
0.67
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
50%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.01
Avg xG
1.04
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.42
xG [Total: 2.33]
0.91
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
6
Corners [Total: 11]
5
4
Offsides [Total: 8]
4
14
Fouls [Total: 30]
16
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
4
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FSV Mainz 05 will take on Hamburger SV as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous MEWA ARENA.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FSV Mainz 05, and the visiting side, Hamburger SV. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 14:30
Location: MEWA ARENA
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV Football 21 Feb, 2026 8:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Hamburger SV struggle to score — failed to find net in 4/6 recent away matches
-
Dominant Chance Creation
FSV Mainz 05 create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
FSV Mainz 05(3 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FSV Mainz 05 are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%FSV Mainz 05 create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Bundesliga (Home) matches
- Not WinRecent23/3077%FSV Mainz 05 have not won in 23 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
FSV Mainz 05(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague3/650%FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score at home (0.83/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Hamburger SV(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/667%Hamburger SV struggle to score in away matches (0.33/match) - fail to score in 67% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Hamburger SV(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent11/1479%Hamburger SV scored 0-1 goals in 11 of their last 14 Bundesliga matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05(2 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FSV Mainz 05 are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent23/3077%FSV Mainz 05 have not won in 23 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague3/650%FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score at home (0.83/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Hamburger SV(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/667%Hamburger SV struggle to score in away matches (0.33/match) - fail to score in 67% of matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
FSV Mainz 05(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1290%FSV Mainz 05 average 2.8 cards/match in all matches (+36% above league avg 2.1) — rank #2 in league
- Many CardsRecent11/1479%FSV Mainz 05 receive 2+ cards in 11 of their last 14 Bundesliga (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%FSV Mainz 05 receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
Hamburger SV(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1290%Hamburger SV average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+20% above league avg 2.1) — rank #5 in league
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Hamburger SV(2 trends) — avg 3.7 (-25% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/685%Hamburger SV average 3.7 corners/match in away matches (-25% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent11/1479%Hamburger SV win 4 or fewer corners in 11 of their last 14 Bundesliga matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+7 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FSV Mainz 05
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Hamburger SV
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
14
Momentum
0.3
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Hamburger SV - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.29
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.43
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.64
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.36
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Hamburger SV - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
1
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
1
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider FSV Mainz 05 to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: FSV Mainz 05 excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of FSV Mainz 05 scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: FSV Mainz 05 has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider FSV Mainz 05 handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.063
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.004
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.004 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.029 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Hamburger SV):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FSV Mainz 05 and away matches for Hamburger SV
Number of goals
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
60%
6
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
40%
4
50%
5
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
xG
1.24
1.2
xGa
1.66
1.47
Number of goals
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Yes
10%
1
50%
5
No
90%
9
50%
5
1X2
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
10%
1
60%
6
2
60%
6
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
12
90%
9
40%
4
1X
40%
4
70%
7
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Played:
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
0
Goals
4
4
4
4
Goals Conceded
0
3
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
1
1
4
4
Corners
1
1
13
13
Fouls
13
13
3
3
Offsides
3
3
11
11
Shots
15
15
4
4
Shots on Goal
9
9
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.8 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0.9 | 11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 10 | 2.2 | 13 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 12 | 2.8 | 17 | 2.4 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.5 | 3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corners | 4.7 | 28 | 4.7 | 28 | 4.7 | 56 |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 75 | 12.2 | 73 | 12.3 | 148 |
| Offsides | 3.5 | 21 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.7 | 32 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 77 | 9.2 | 55 | 11 | 132 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 18 | 2.3 | 14 | 2.7 | 32 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 9 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.9 | 11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 12 | 2.2 | 13 | 2.1 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 21 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.6 | 43 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 77 | 13.2 | 79 | 13 | 156 |
| Offsides | 1.7 | 10 | 3.5 | 21 | 2.6 | 31 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 81 | 11.7 | 70 | 12.6 | 151 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 30 | 3.8 | 23 | 4.4 | 53 |