Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 20 December, 2025 14:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season
Real Madrid
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Real Madrid vs Sevilla Saturday, Dec 20th, 2025 at 14:00 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Real Madrid vs Sevilla Football 20 Dec, 2025 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🧱
Defensive Fortress
Real Madrid have league's best defense — hard to break down
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📈
Dominant Chance Creation
Real Madrid create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Real Madrid vs Sevilla, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Real Madrid(13 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H10/10100%Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 10 10 matches vs Sevilla
- High xG PerformanceH2H10/10100%Real Madrid create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 La Liga matches vs Sevilla
- Good Goal RatioH2H9/1090%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches vs Sevilla
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Real Madrid score 2.33 goals/match at home (+80% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Real Madrid are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%Real Madrid rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.58)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Real Madrid concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%Real Madrid create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent14/14100%Real Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Real Madrid create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 La Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 La Liga matches
- High ScoringRecent23/3077%Real Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 23 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Sevilla(1 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1580%Sevilla efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 15 La Liga (Away) matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Real Madrid(7 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H9/1090%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches vs Sevilla
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Real Madrid score 2.33 goals/match at home (+80% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%Real Madrid rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.58)
- High ScoringRecent14/14100%Real Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Real Madrid have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 La Liga matches
- High ScoringRecent23/3077%Real Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 23 of their last 30 La Liga matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Real Madrid(4 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H10/10100%Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 10 10 matches vs Sevilla
- Top Table FormLeague70%Real Madrid are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Real Madrid concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent25/3083%Real Madrid are undefeated at half time in 25 of their last 30 La Liga matches
Sevilla(1 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H8/1080%Sevilla are undefeated at half time in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches vs Real Madrid
⚡ Team Total Goals
Real Madrid(8 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H10/10100%Real Madrid scored 1+ goals in their last 10 10 matches vs Sevilla
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H10/10100%Real Madrid score in second half in their last 10 10 matches vs Sevilla
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Real Madrid score 2.33 goals/match at home (+80% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%Real Madrid rank 2 of 20 in scoring at home (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.58)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Real Madrid concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent14/14100%Real Madrid scored 1+ goals in their last 14 14 matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent14/14100%Real Madrid rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 14 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent11/1479%Real Madrid score in second half in 11 of their last 14 La Liga (Home) matches
Sevilla(2 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent12/1580%Sevilla scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 15 La Liga (Away) matches
- Scored 1+Recent24/3080%Sevilla scored 1+ goals in 24 of their last 30 La Liga matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Real Madrid(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%Real Madrid average 1.4 cards/match in all matches (-35% below league avg 2.2) — rank #1 lowest in league
Sevilla(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H9/1090%Sevilla receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches vs Real Madrid
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Sevilla average 3.0 cards/match in all matches (+38% above league avg 2.2) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Sevilla receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 La Liga matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Real Madrid(1 trends) — avg 6.3 (+30% above league)
- Many CornersLeague6/685%Real Madrid average 6.3 corners/match at home (+30% above league avg 4.9)
Sevilla(1 trends) — avg 4.1 (-13% below league)
- Few CornersH2H8/989%Sevilla win 4 or fewer corners in 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches vs Real Madrid
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Real Madrid vs Sevilla
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Real Madrid
✈️ Sevilla
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Real Madrid - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Sevilla - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Real Madrid - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Sevilla - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Real Madrid has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Real Madrid handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Real Madrid):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sevilla):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Head-to-head statistics for Sat 20 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 La Liga
Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Real Madrid and away matches for Sevilla
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 50.4% Medium N/A | 0.1% Low N/A |
| -2 | 61.0% Medium N/A | 0.4% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 71.5% High N/A | 0.6% Low N/A |
| -1 | 79.8% High N/A | 1.9% Low N/A |
| -0.5 | 88.1% High N/A | 3.3% Low N/A |
| +0.5 | 96.7% High N/A | 11.9% Low N/A |
| +1 | 98.0% High N/A | 20.2% Low N/A |
| +1.5 | 99.4% High N/A | 28.4% Low N/A |
| +2 | 99.6% High N/A | 39.0% Low N/A |
| +2.5 | 99.9% High N/A | 49.6% Low N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.86%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 83.14% | High | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 16.86% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 11.21% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 88.79% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 62.43% | Medium | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 37.57% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 2.03% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 97.97% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
8
2
0
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 5 | 11 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.3 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 2.1 | 32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 3 | 1.1 | 10 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 10 | 1.1 | 10 | 1.3 | 20 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 3 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.5 | 7 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 38 | 5.7 | 51 | 5.9 | 89 |
| Fouls | 11 | 66 | 10.1 | 91 | 10.5 | 157 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 11 | 1.7 | 15 | 1.7 | 26 |
| Shots | 19.8 | 119 | 18.6 | 167 | 19.1 | 286 |
| Shots on Goal | 7.5 | 45 | 6.6 | 59 | 6.9 | 104 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 10 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.4 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 12 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.6 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards | 3.1 | 22 | 2.7 | 19 | 2.9 | 41 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 37 | 5.3 | 37 | 5.3 | 74 |
| Fouls | 16.6 | 116 | 13.1 | 92 | 14.9 | 208 |
| Offsides | 3.4 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 2.7 | 38 |
| Shots | 11.1 | 78 | 10.4 | 73 | 10.8 | 151 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.4 | 24 | 3.3 | 23 | 3.4 | 47 |


La Liga 2025-2026